Long-Term Semi Growth Rates Up
Semiconductor growth is due for a significant upturn over the next five years, with especially strong growth in NAND, microcontrollers and DRAM, according to research firm IC Insights.
DRAM is forecast to grow from a negative 2.2% in the period from 2006 to 2011 to a compound annual growth rate of 9.6% between 2011 and 2016. NAND flash will grow 16.6 percent during that period, but it has been growing at a rate of 16% between 2006 and 2011, so this is basically flat. Microcontrollers, meanwhile, will increase from 6.2% to 7.8%, and analog will grow from 3.1% to 3.3%.
What’s particularly interesting is the average selling price for ICs, which showed a decline of 2.9% between 2006 and 2011. The research house predicts ASPs will increase to an average of 1.7%.
